AccScience Publishing / STI / Online First / DOI: 10.36922/STI026070011
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RESEARCH ARTICLE

Predicting surgical difficulty in liver transplantation: A scoring system to stratify risk

Victor Yu1,2†* Dmitry Polikarpov2† Aleksandra Polikarpova2 Simone I. Strasser1,2 Andrew Watts2 Ken Liu1,2 Michael Crawford1,2 Carlo Pulitano1,2
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1 Faculty of Health and Medicine, The University of Sydney, Camperdown, Australia
2 Australian National Liver Transplant Unit, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Camperdown, Australia
†These authors contributed equally to this work.
Received: 15 February 2026 | Revised: 16 June 2026 | Accepted: 16 June 2026 | Published online: 2 September 2026
© 2026 by the Author(s). This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License ( https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ )
Abstract

Background: Patients undergoing liver transplantation (LT) are routinely assessed for surgical difficulty, but the predictive value of these assessments are inconsistent. We quantified risk factors for surgical complexity in LT to inform decision making and assist in perioperative planning.

Objective: To risk stratify surgical difficulty in liver transplantation.

Methods: Our prospective LT database (2012–2023) was analysed comparing patients based on surgical difficulty, defined by three surrogate measures (operating time, blood loss, intraoperative complications). Patients were stratified into low (LD), intermediate (ID) and high (HD) difficulty cohorts and compared based on demographic, biochemical, surgical and radiological data. Statistical analysis included ANOVA and chi-square test with multivariate regression to control for covariates.

Results: A total of 771 transplants were included in the study (LD, n = 225; ID, n = 346; HD, n = 200). High-difficulty LT was associated with worse overall survival (HD 85.5%, ID 93.7%, LD 96.4%, p < 0.001) and graft failure (HD 6.5%, ID 2.0%, LD 0.9%, p < 0.001), prolonged hospitalisation and complication rate. Factors predictive of surgical difficulty were multiple prior abdominal surgical procedures (>1, OR 1.94, p < 0.05), prior open hepatobiliary surgery (OR 3.86, p < 0.05), re-transplantation (OR 5.89, p < 0.05) and prior spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (OR 3.04, p < 0.05)

Conclusion: Four variables were associated with significant risk for surgical complexity in LT. These variables have been included into a score with preoperative utility to inform patient risks and plan perioperative resources, but requires external validation prior to clinical implementation.

Graphical abstract
Keywords
Liver transplantation
Retrospective studies
Risk factors
End-stage liver disease
Intraoperative complication
Funding
None.
Conflict of interest
The authors have no conflicts of interest or funding to declare.
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Surgical Technology International, Electronic ISSN: 1090-3941 Published by AccScience Publishing